2021 Subjective Yield Survey Results for Hazelnuts Released

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The projected 2021 hazelnut crop size is 125.2 million pounds, which if realized would be a new record (photo by Mitch Lies.)

Hazelnut Marketing Board released its annual Subjective Yield Survey, and the 2021 crop has the potential to be a new high for the industry.

The projected crop size, according to a Hazelnut Marketing Board press release, is 125.2 million pounds or 62,603 tons. The values were calculated from grower survey cards cross-referenced with field mapping statistics from a Pacific Agricultural Survey December 2020 report. Across the ranges of tree age (0 to 4 years, 5 to 10 years, mature) in the survey, 84,190 acres were accounted for.

Oregon Hazelnut Industry Office Executive Director Colleen Nihen commented on the positives for the industry that the projected crop brings. ā€œA projected yield of this size is a great sign for the industry; even after such a tough weather year in 2021, to have a potential record set yet again shows that our growers are seeing the fruits of their labor,ā€ she said. ā€œIt wasn’t long ago that 30,000 tons per year was the norm; it would be exciting for 60,000 tons to be the new norm.ā€

Nihen noted some speculation surrounding this year’s projected crop after a record year in 2020. Answers anticipating yield growth on survey cards distributed by Hazelnut Marketing Board varied widely as a result of 2021’s ice storm in February and extreme heat and drought during the summer months. However, the calculated projected crop size eased industry concerns.
ā€œWe were concerned that the crop could drop after a record harvest in 2020, but this projection shows we should be right in line with last year,ā€ she said.

One difference between the data collection in 2021 compared to 2020 is a lack of the usual Objective Yield Survey conducted by USDA-NASS. While the Objective Yield Survey is typically done along with the Subjective Yield Survey, according to the press release, a recent labor shortage was cause for the completion of only the Subjective Yield Survey in 2021.

ā€œWithout the Objective Yield Survey, the Subjective Yield Survey becomes even more critical in helping our processors and growers plan for harvest season,ā€ Nihen said. ā€œThis is the lone industrywide data point of its kind we have this year, which makes it even more crucial to everybody in the industry.ā€

Any questions regarding the Subjective Yield Survey may be directed to the Hazelnut Industry Office at 503-582-8420.